Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Tropical Storm Nicole dies! FLOOD ALERT STILL CONTINUES


METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

As was expected, Tropical storm Nicole has dissipated at 5PM Sept 29 just few
miles SE of Florida.
BUT the flood threat for the eastern coast still continues as the low pressure wi
ll move towards Eastern States on Thursday and having air pressure nearing to 1000mb!

On thursday very heavy rains will continue to strike with

flooding potentials mainly in Extreme North-East South Carolina,Eastern and Central North Carolina,Central Virginia on Thursday and also in Maryland,DC,New york from late Wednesday night to Friday mid period


The NWS has already issued a Flash flood alert

Flash Flood Watch

Statement as of 9:05 PM EDT on September 29, 2010


... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from midnight EDT tonight
through Thursday evening...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Maryland... the District of Columbia... Virginia and
northeast West Virginia... including the following areas... in
Maryland... Anne Arundel... Calvert... Carroll... Charles...
Frederick MD... Harford... Howard... Montgomery... northern
Baltimore... Prince Georges... southern Baltimore... St. Marys
and Washington. The District of Columbia. In Virginia...
Albemarle... Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria... Augusta...
Clarke... Culpeper... Fairfax... Frederick VA... Greene... King
George... Loudoun... Madison... Nelson... northern Fauquier...
Orange... Page... Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park...
Rappahannock... Rockingham... Shenandoah... southern Fauquier...
Spotsylvania... Stafford and Warren. In northeast West
Virginia... Berkeley... Jefferson and Morgan.

* From midnight EDT tonight through Thursday evening

* light rain overspreading the area from the south this evening
will increase in intensity tonight... becoming heavy at times
late tonight and Thursday as low pressure tracks up the East
Coast. Rainfall totals of two to four inches are expected...
with localized amounts up to six inches possible.


Also,, STRONG WINDS AT SURFACE LEVEL WILL TROUBLE THE EASTERN COASTS OF VIRGINIA,NEW YORK,PHILADELPHIA AND COASTAL AREAS WITH STRONG SURFS

A SLIGHT RISK EXISTS FROM EASTERN NC TO MID ATLANTIC STATES FOR SEVERE WEATHER. TORNADO THREAT WILL BE LIMITED GIVEN THE LESS 2000J/KG CAPE IN EASTERN VIRGINIA AND EASTERN NC
THERE IS A STRONG ARGUMENT IN GFS AND NAM MODELS.
THESE AREAS WILL WITNESS PRETTY STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAINS AND 1-2 TORNADO OR EVEN 0 DEPENDING ON THE CONDITIONS

METD WEATHER CONTINUES ALL THE WEATHER ALERTS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED EVEN AFTER THE DEATH OF NICOLE. THIS WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE IS THE ORIGINAL CAUSE OF PROBLEM AND NOT"TROPICAL STORM NICOLE"

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