1] SEA LEVEL PRESSURE PLOT FOR INDIA
2] HEAVY RAINFALL PRECIPITATION PLOT
An existing low pressure stationed over West Bengal is expected to track Westwards from Tuesday as being depicted the 12z GFS Weather Models
This low pressure area having an embedded low level circulation or LLC will sweep over Central India from Tuesday to Wednesday thus pumping a lot of moisture pulled in from the Arabian Sea. A reason of being windy in Nagpur since last week when winds at afternoon/evening peaked 18km/hr due to this dominant air pressured low.Thus due to potent moisture deposition combined with the day time hot air rise conflicting with the cool air above, Rains are expected for the FINAL TIME in this season on Tuesday and Wednesday
Also, Multiple mid to low level vortex systems will form as a result of this pressure over Nagpur and other areas intensifying rains. Rains are expected to begin on Tuesday late evening to night period (Timing is subjected to change in relation to the low pressure movement but nearing to 10PM). Afternoon rain shower possible on Tuesday also.
Thus, light to moderate rains will strike. Wednesday, the forecast says that it will be a rainy day
Light to moderate rains will continue all the way and relaxing by evening period
I WOULD ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WATER LOGGING PROBLEMS AGAIN IN NAGPUR ON TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY
During this time, i.e from Tuesday to Wednesday- VERY Heavy rains are possible to areas within 300km radius of nagpur
briefly Chandrapur,Wardha,Amravati,Yavatmal also
On Wednesday very heavy rains possible at Central Maharashtra
I WILL ALERT FOR FLOODING POTENTIALS IN ALL THESE AREAS AND THEIR NEARBY VILLAGES/TOWN
With this, I am expecting the end of the 2010 SW Monsoon Season in Central India atleast and Northern India since the winds have started changing their course.
They are now taking a west, North-Westerly path and I don't find any new system building up
So I think the rains will be over by Mid September i.e 16th or near.
Tue-Wed heavy rains are most likely to be the LAST TIME IN THIS YEAR
This season , I couldn't send much EMAIL alerts due to very busy schedule but I was constantly updating through social networking sites and my blogs
For more details on FAST WEATHER ALERTS(LOOK BELOW)
metdweather.blogspot.com- METD WEATHER BLOG ADDRESS TO GET LATEST ON WEATHER
www.facebook.com/metdweather - FACEBOOK ALERT PAGE FOR LATEST AND QUICKEST ALERTS IN NAGPUR
www.twitter.com/akshaydeoras- TWITTER ALERT PAGE FOR METD WEATHER