The expected low pressure most likely to change the path in Central India

METD WEATHER,

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The 00z, model forecasts are suggesting intensification of the current existing low pressure having Central air pressure near to 1002mb over Eastern Coast of India. Models suggesting the movement of this forecasted low across CENTRAL INDIA with peak low air pressure nearing to 996mb and around on 18th Sept that is Saturday

Given the excellent conditions for this one such as lower convergence and upper divergence which are forecasted to remain over Central India, I w'd not be surprised to find this one nearing to the forecasted air pressure (If something unusual doesn't happen)

Considering according to the forecast

This low pressure NOW WILL BRING SOME SOLID RAINS THIS WEEKEND IN CENTRAL INDIA. IF THE INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AGAIN THEN IT WILL DEFINITELY CREATE FLOODING POTENTIALS IN MANY AREAS SINCE EVERY LOW PRESSURE SWEEPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MAHARASHTRA HAS DONE VERY BAD THINGS

Forecast-

Friday- VERY HEAVY RAINS IN WEST- CENTRAL CHATTISGARH

ESPECIALLY BHILAI,RAIPUR,RAJNANDGAON AND NEARBY AREAS

(RAINS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY TO MODERATE ON THURSDAY,16TH SEPT 2010)

I ISSUE A MARK 3 ALERT ON METD WEATHER'S SEVERE WEATHER RISK SCALE

ALERT EXPIRES- 1500HRS IST SATURDAY,18TH SEPT 2010

(((MARK 3. Mark 3 is a scale which means Moderate THREAT with IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUESTED. Mark 3 alert means THERE IS A MODERATE THREAT from the Weather. THREAT LEVEL MODERATE))))

On Saturday, The low is expected to move THROUGH NAGPUR

So, Very heavy rains are likely on Saturday.

I ISSUE A MARK 3 ALERT FOR NAGPUR,WARDHA,AMRAVATI,AKOLA,BHANDARA, KATOL, AND OTHER AREAS WITHIN 450KM OF RADIUS FROM NAGPUR

Nagpur Weather Forecast-

Thu- Thunderstorm at late night with some rains

Fri- Mostly Cloudy and some rains expected at afternoon side( Check www.facebook.com/metdweather) for exact details

Sat- Heavy rains and cool day.MARK 3 ALERT IN EFFECT TILL 1400HRS SUNDAY,19TH SEPT 2010

** IF THE LOW PRESSURE MAINTAINS THE FORECASTED PATH THEN VERY HEAVY RAINS WILL CREATE WATER LOGGING IN CITY, FLOODING POTENTIALS IN THE MENTIONED AREAS AND THEIR VICINITY

STAY SAFE