Severe Weather Forecaster
Wide area of Convection happening over the Eastern States is most likely to organize on Friday and more on Saturday as a low level cyclonic circulation develops with a mid level vortex system adding all to a low pressure area. The strength of the low might not be that severe as we were expected but could definitely throw life out of gear in central India esp Eastern and Central Maharashtra
The 00z models are very clear in suggesting the track of the low across the Central India portion eventually pulling ample moisture from Arabian Sea and pumping it over land. Given the decrease in the pressure associated with low movement and increase in the moisture amount,
VERY HEAVY RAINS will strike initially Most of Chattisgarh areas like Raipur,Durg,Bhilai,Bilaspur,South-west Orrissa,Souther Chattisgarh and SE Maharashtra.
METD WEATHER ISSUES A MARK 3 ALERT IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS (WRITTEN IN RED) . ALERT BEGINS 1200HRS,17TH SEPT 2010
EXPIRES 1300HRS,19TH SEPT 2010 (ALERT CONTINUES FOR SW ORRISSA AND SOUTHERN CHATTISGARH,SE MAHARASHTRA ON SUN. FOR REST AREAS ALERT EXPIRES ON 1300HRS,18TH SEPT 2010)
As the low moves more west, heavy rains will pound
VERY HEAVY RAINS WILL STRIKE ON SATURDAY AT WIDE AREA
SE OF MAHARASHTRA,NAGPUR,WARDHA,AMRAVATI,AKOLA,JALGAON,
MAHARASHTRA-MP BORDER,SOUTH CENTRAL MP AND LAST AT BHOPAL.
THE MAIN THREAT SEEMS TO BE NEAR MAHARASHTRA-MP BORDER AREAS AND FEW 100KM IN MADHYA PRADESH FROM MAHARASHTRA
METD WEATHER ISSUES A MARK 3 ALERT IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS. ALERT BEGINS 2300HRS,17TH SEPT 2010
EXPIRES 1700HRS,19TH SEPT 2010 (SINCE SOME MORE RAINS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY IN THE REGION)
MARK 3 ALERT MEANS- Mark 3 is a scale which means Moderate THREAT with IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUESTED. Mark 3 alert means THERE IS A MODERATE THREAT from the Weather. THREAT LEVEL MODERATE
Nagpur Weather Forecast-
17/09- PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY. 8% CHANCE OF RAINS (ON SCALE OF 30% MAX) IN AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ALSO. IN ALL LESS CHANCE OF RAINS
18/09- MARK 3 ALERT IN EFFECT
VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY FROM MORNING,POSSIBLE WATER LOGGING PROBLEMS.
CHANCE OF RAIN IS 30% ON 30% MAXIMUM VALUE
19/09- MARK 2 ALERT STARTS FROM SUNDAY EARLY MORNING
RAINS ON SUNDAY ALSO CONTINUING FROM SATURDAY, LESS CHANCE OF WATER LOGGING BUT THREAT PERSISTS, COOL DAY.
20/09- PARTLY RAINY DAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY AND VERY COOL DAY.
I w'd not be surprised to find flood like situations in the areas mentioned above in RED color