Severe Weather Forecaster
The strong tropical depression or Invest 95B which had threatened to West Bengal state spared the state. From the morning datas it was becoming clear that Depression w'd miss the state yet the warnings were in full swing with upgradation as Center of depression passed 100km away from Kolkata which is pretty close
The tropical depression caused very strong storm surge in Bangladesh coast . My Facebook friend Alam Shafiul who lives at Chittagong in Bangladesh told me that under the influence of this system, storm surge coupled with Natural tide led the sea level to rise 5-6ft above normal.
Strong Winds,Gale winds were also reported.
3 people were killed and 50+fisherman missing in Bangladesh
RELATED NEWS ARTICLE IS HERE
SINCE THE DEPRESSION NOW HAS LANDED OVER LAND AND CURRENTLY HAMMERING THE NE SEVEN SISTER STATES OF INDIA, CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FROM IT IS ZERO WHICH I HAD MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS POST
NEW SUSPECTED LOW PRESSURE IN BAY OF BENGAL NEXT WEEK
WHAT LOOKS NOW ON COMPUTER MODELS IS AN EXCELLENT LOW PRESSURE SETUP COMING UP THE NEXT WEEK
IF THE GFS MODELS GO TRUE, ALL THE EXCELLENT CONDITIONS COMING UP IN NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL
A TROPICAL WAVE MIGHT TRAVEL FROM THE EASTERN SEAS TOWARDS MYANMAR AND ENTER BAY. GIVEN SST,UPPER ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS, LOW
WILL MATERIALIZE TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT LEAST AND HOPEFULLY A CYCLONE
A PICTURE OF THE 144HR GFS SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (144HR+00Z,08TH OCT 2010) HAS BEEN PUT ON THE BLOG.
IF THAT LOW BECOMES A CYCLONE THEN I MIGHT GET A CHANCE TO INTERCEPT IT IN NAGPUR AS IT WILL DEFINITELY TRAVEL THROUGH CENTRAL INDIA IF IT MAINTAINS THE TRACK
(RIGHT- THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. MORE TECHNICAL PLOTS WILL BE PUT AS THE SITUATION UNFURLS)