METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
* KASHMIR VALLEY RECEIVES FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON.
3" + SNOW ACCUMULATED IN GULMARG,SONAMARG,PAHALGAM,ANANTNAG,ZOJILLA PASS,
** SRINAGAR-LEH HIGHWAY TEMPORARILY STOPPED AT ZOJILLA PASS
** SRINAGAR RECEIVES 37.2MM RAINS TILL 8AM THIS MORNING
** KOKERNAG TOURIST RESORT RECORDED 46.6MM RAINS AND THEN 38.22MM RAINFALL IN PAHALGAM,QAZIGUND
** ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IN KYELONG,KALPA IN HIMACHAL ON 21ST OCT 2010 REACHES 30-40MM
A well set 110mph jet stream is digging (around 90kt wind speed) is bringing heavy rains and thunderstorms in Northern India especially Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
As seen from the GFS 200-300mb plot,the jet stream is digging in from NW Jammu and Kashmir and is having a Southerly flow. The morning satellite images are indicating high cloud cover in all areas along with -20 to -40C cloud top
temperatures!
Rains were already reported in Srinagar this morning and will continue for the entire day
Meanwhile, the maximum temperatures today are mostly going to be around 10C in high altitude regions like Srinagar and close to 5-8C in Leh. Minimum temperatures are definitely falling below 0C in Manali,Kargil,Leh,Baralacha pass which will definitely bring some snowfall today and tonight in these areas given the nice cool freezing environment.
The minimum temperatures in Leh are expected to near -10C and windchill of -15C!!!!!
Snowfall now will become very common in these areas. In Shimla,there are rains today and I expect snowflakes in Manali!
It was 4C at Srinagar at 8AM today !
Central India-
Temperatures (at minimum( in Central India will start falling to 18-17C in the next 3-4 days and this probably is the Winter onset!
For more official report on it
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