Monday, October 11, 2010

Update on the low pressure in Bay of Bengal

Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

Ingredients are coming together for forming a strong low pressure as is being indicated by last many GFS,CMS weather RUNS.CMS show low pressure to drop upto 980mb
The morning satellite imagery is showing -60C cloud tops in the central Bay of Bengal.
GFS is showing that a low level cyclonic circulation will soon start building up across this widespread convection and will strengthen the existing 1006mb low as of Thai map of 18z,11th Oct 2010

The GFS cyclone track is still showing a solid chance of low pressure dropping to 990 and below peak on 15-16 as this low pressure(expected to be a cyclone ) sweeps east and slams Orissa on 16th Oct

All METD WEATHER warning continue as they are. Low will start intensifying from tomorrow onwards

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