Extreme Weather Forecaster
Concerning- a HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER with Greatest tornado potentials
IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUESTED
All weather models and patterns in the RUC 16Z are suggesting some outrageous Tornadoes
A classic Cut off trough will spin nosing NE WDS over Central Kansas and Oklahoma causing a very active atmosphere for convection. The strong Low level jets will develop to 50kt transporting ample moist air mass into Oklahoma, Kansas and MO.
By 8z, CAPE FOR CENTRAL Ok will be 6000J/Kg meaning supercells will release many tornadoes as they will be overloaded with CAPE. The supercells will rotate extremely due to 450 m2 s2 low level shears at 0-1km and excellent directional shears. The PW is above 1.0 meaning HP supercells with possibly DAMAGING HAILS AND EXTREMELY BAD LONG TRACK TORNADOES POSSIBLE. the EHI are rising to 10.0 in Central OK and extremely bad,
THIS SITUATION CAN BE LIKE 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK
I WILL WARN PEOPLE ALL OVER IN OKLAHOMA,EXCEPT SW OK... SE KS,NW MO,EXTREME EAST AR
I WILL PLAY INITIAL TARGET OF WICHITA,KS
MY SEVERE WEATHER RANGE IS FROM WICHITA,KS TO EXTREME SE OF OK
MY TORNADO RANGE IS TARGETED FOR CENTRAL OK TO WICHITA,KS
NIGHT TORNADOES ARE LIKELY AND RAIN WRAPPED. THEY ARE DANGEROUS
VALID 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS...AND CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK IN KS...OK...SW MO...AND NW AR... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CENTRAL/NW TX TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...
I will warn