Monday, July 26, 2010

Surface Low pressure sweeps away! New might form soon

METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras
Extreme Weather Forecaster

The 48hr toll- From 00z Sunday till Monday
Madhya Pradesh
Damoh-25.4cm
Jabalpur-16cm

Eastern Maharashtra-
Wardha 65mm
Amravti-4.8
Gondia-4.7
Nagpur- 4.2mm** To be verified

FORECAST FOR NAGPUR OF TUESDAY AND WED
TUE-- MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOL WITH WARMER AFTERNOON PERIOD
CHANCE OF RAINS DURING THE DAY IS VERY LESS WITH A SPELL OF SLIGHT RAINS TOWARDS NIGHT
WED- WARMER DAY THAN TUE AND NO RAIN

FORECAST FOR EASTERN MAHARASHTRA
DECREASE IN RAINS AND WARMER DAYS
FOR NORTH INDIA-
THERE WILL BE RAINS ON TUESDAY IN NEW DELHI,PUNJAB,HARYANA JK ETC

With the surface low centered over Northern Gujarat as being indicated by the GFS models of 12z,26th July, Central India including Nagpur city has got good amount of rains in the past 48hrs as were expected. The low pressure is expected to travel across Arabian into Gulf countries

With absolutely no significant surface low pressure is expected to build in bay of bengal in the the next few days, dry air is expected to move from SE of India towards NW mainly to settle across South Central India first and then in central Maharashtra,Madhya Pradesh causing a dry air at the crucial 850mb and mid atmospheric levels.This relatively dry air at lower levels will restrict the rainfall in Central and Eastern Maharashtra and also in the South Central India in the coming 2-3 days resulting in warm day with surface moisture or humidity dominant...
On 28th July, GFS is indicating another low pressure area formation offshore Tamil Nadu which is expected to have a 1000mb initial pressure and move West-Northwest wards causing some rains in the same south Central India and parts like Nagpur city
Although this low pressure is not expected to create a miracle which the present did by pumping moisture over Central India and causing good rains, but will be a good for rains

I bet for the decrease in rains till next 3 days due to absence of moisture in Maharashtra but the coasts western part will be getting rains



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