Monday, March 22, 2010

High Temperature warning for Central plains of India

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Extreme Weather Forecaster,

concerning- High temperatures in central India.

The summer kicked off last month in Feb. 2010 with the temperatures rising to 35C. March month generally remains cool than the APRIL AND MAY. This season it is looking like there is going to be a significant record breaks this week for temperatures. The max temperatures throughout the country from 1st march to 31st march was never above the 40C.
This season the temperature in NGP has touched to 40C and today as per the report of 11:30AM, the temperature was already 40C.
The 10d panel for 1000mb temperature or surface temperature for central india is showing a stagnant belt of high temperature. Indian climate is affected due to winds blowing from Gulf countries esp. Afghanisthan. The air temp map for all the levels showing a dry air coming from those area which is actually bringing heat from states of Gujarat,Rajasthan.
After this air front enters mainland,it spreads over central parts of india esp Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh. When it is pretty strong, hot temp. are experienced in northern India also. For now it is looking like the next 10 days will witness significant rise of temperature all over the country. For Nagpur the temperatures may touch the 42C line in next 96hr but not more than 44C in any case. The temperature though will be between 40-42C, people will witness more heat as the air is quite dry with little moisture. For the next 48hrs I shall give a RED signal to anyone venturing out in afternoon as the air at 500mb <5000ft> also is above 0C. The 10d panel also showing no low pressure system will affect anywhere in India giving a more scope of the heat to spread in relative dry air. If there is some low coming in then the air usually gets moisture which means a little drop in heat but no significant drop in temp. This rising temp. might be a cause of flooding in the northern areas where people live near the river basin of the himalayan rivers as in those areas also temp is high.

* A 10 DAY HEAT WAVE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 14:00 HRS ON 22ND MARCH TO 14:00 HRS ON 02ND APRIL. 
* PLEASE DON'T TRY TO VENTURE OUT IN AFTERNOON ESP AFTER 12PM TO 5PM. 
* NEXT WEATHER WATCH/ALERT WILL BE ISSUED FOR FUTURE WEATHER <IN MONTH OF APRIL> ON 1ST APRIL 2010

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