METD ALERT
Akshay Deoras
IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUIRED_
As had earlier been said,cyclone ului is heading straight towards Australia's North Eastern part. AS per the latest observations this cyclone will make a landfall somewhere between Bowan and Mackey,Queensland and the eyewall is expected to pass through Proserpine. TC Ului has devastating wind speed ranging to 63mph gusting to 64mph. Ului is at present 19.9 S and 151.7E. Ului, currently a category two storm on the scale of one to five, is 365 kilometers (227 miles) east-northeast of the city of Mackay, moving west southwest at 27 kilometers an hour, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology said on its Web site in a bulletin issued at 1:55 p.m. local time. The state government preemptively declared a disaster situation.T
This cyclone is expected to strengthen as it comes to the coast. Recently it had weakened due to a NW WIND SHEAR.But recent satellite images are showing that it has strengthen to some extent leading to high wind. The difference in the two 6hourly images is showing that the cyclone has organized a lot. According to Australian meterology this cyclone will be cat 3 at the time of landfall.
here is the bulletin----
Remarks:
The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Ayr and Mackay, most likely in the Proserpine region as a severe tropical cyclone early Sunday. The cyclone is then expected to weaken inland later on Sunday.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE wind gusts to 200 km/hr near the cyclone centre may affect coastal and island communities in the threatened area late tonight and early Sunday.
DAMAGING winds are expected to develop between Cardwell and Yeppoon this evening, then extend to adjacent inland parts during Sunday.
TIDES between Bowen and St Lawrence may rise to just above the highest tide of the year overnight with very rough seas and dangerous conditions along the foreshore.
HEAVY RAINFALL and flooding are likely to develop about coastal and adjacent
inland areas between Bowen and St Lawrence early Sunday.
DANGEROUS SURF conditions are expected to continue about exposed beaches south
of the cyclone until later on Sunday. A separate Severe Weather Warning is
current for these conditions.
People in the path of the dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in a secure shelter while the very destructive winds develop late tonight and early Sunday. Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone as winds may remain light for up to an hour - very destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time. Heed the advice and follow the instructions of Police or State Emergency Service personnel.
People from Cardwell to Yeppoon and inland to Hughenden, including Charters Towers and Clermont should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should now be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services
website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au).
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage)
Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ului
Details:
Time (EST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.) Longitude
(decimal deg.) Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 8 pm March 20 3 20.0S 150.3E 35
+6hr 2 am March 21 3 20.3S 148.7E 65
+12hr 8 am March 21 2 20.6S 147.1E 95
+18hr 2 pm March 21 1 20.9S 145.7E 120
+24hr 8 pm March 21 tropical low 21.1S 144.3E 150
+36hr 8 am March 22 tropical low 21.0S 141.5E 210
+48hr 8 pm March 22 tropical low 19.5S 138.6E 270
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 10:00 pm EST Saturday
BELOW ARE THE TECHNICAL DETAILS--
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 65 knots near the centre.
Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre with very high seas and
heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants extending to
70 nautical miles in southern quadrants with high to very high seas and heavy
swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles in northern quadrants
and within 140 nautical miles in southern quadrants with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 20 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 20.4 south 148.4 east
Central pressure 975 hPa.
Winds to 65 knots
At 0600 UTC 21 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 21.0 south 145.4 east over
land
Central pressure 999 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email
to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 1241 through
Land Earth Station Perth 212.
Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 20 March 2010.
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