Extreme Weather Forecaster,
Concerning- MARK 4 ALERT AS PER SEVERE WEATHER RISK SCALE
AS PER THE 00Z,13TH JUNE 2010 GFS
CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE AND WILL BE NOTIFIED AS PER THE NEW RUNS
As per the 00z GFS of 13th June Monsoon is in a very good shape in Kerala and Karnataka. Monsoon winds are expected to advance more on the western coast due to a low pressure in upper central India resulting in incursion of moisture from Arabian sea.The 850mb winds are largely responsible and all low level moisture in favour of CAPE and strong dewpoints will trigger Thunderstorms across the coasts and slightly interior
1] FOR KERALA, KARNATAKA
Alert starts from 1200hrs,13th June 2010--- Alert expires 1800hrs,18th June 2010
Heavy rains are likely to hit the western coast of Kerala, Karnataka and central regions also. Rains must have begun and will be very strong till Monday mid day. Moderate rains will continue till Friday mid day. Flash flood like situations can happen!!
2] GOA STATE
Alert starts on 1200hrs, 14th June 2010--- Alert expires 1800hrs,18th June 2010
Thunderstorms with high winds, Heavy rainfall due to strong moisture at lower levels will dominate in Goa reaching THE PEAK on Tuesday night,Wednesday and some hours on Thursday. People must watch out for HIGH TIDES on the shore and also from flash flood like situation
3] Western Coast of Maharashtra
Alert starts on 1800hrs, 14th June 2010
Thunderstorms with high winds, heavy rainfall will strike reaching peak on Tuesday early period and VERY HIGH on Thursday,17th June 2010.
A SPECIAL ALERT IS FOR MUMBAI CITY FOR TUESDAY AND THURSDAY, IF GFS MAINTAINS THE STRENGTH THEN THINGS CAN BE SIMILAR TO 26TH JULY 2005 IF BMC HASN;T PREPARED WELL