EXTREME WEATHER FORECASTER
The SW monsoon in 2010 hasn't been that good as In most of the country, Monsoon is running late and behind the normal. In the last week, Monsoon marked good strength along the western coast particularly in Mumbai city area. Unfortunately SW Monsoon didn't progress towards Interior Maharashtra and also towards Northern plains.
The current pattern of Monsoon and amount of precipitation in Nagpur and surroundings have made it clear that few rains which had lashed in Nagpur some days back were Pre-Monsoon showers as had been predicted by METD WEATHER. Monsoon,unfortunately has failed to mark the 26th June 2010 target of METD WEATHER due to many reasons and now is likely for a delay.
AS per present situations, monsoon is running behind the schedule by a week almost. It hasn't advanced inwards in India and is just bountiful for Western Coast only. It looks like Monsoon is on a week delay.
Monsoon onset in Nagpur- 4th July 2010
Monsoon onset in Delhi- 7th July 2010 or LATE
For Jammu and Kashmir- 14th July 2010 or LATE
For July, DEFICIENT RAINFALL is eminent as being depicted by few models of Indian Ocean DIpole and MJO oscillations. I am revising a 70% rainfall this year and will be more in August and NOT SEPTEMBER AS PER IMD