Monday, August 30, 2010

Will Hurricane Earl strike Eastern USA?

above- THE COMPUTER WEATHER MODELS OF CIMSS OF 00Z,31ST AUG 2010 ARE INDICATING THE TARGETED PATH OF EARL. THE YELLOW-ORANGE PATCH EAST OF US IN ATLANTIC IS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR WHICH MEANS DRY AIR FEEDS IN THE SYSTEM OF HURRICANE AND WEAKENS IT.


METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras,
Severe Weather Forecaster

Hurricane Earl has gained up speed and symmetry and has reached the Cat.4 Hurricane mark in the North Atlantic ocean.Already affecting the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, Earl now has an almost clear strengthning passage in the North Atlantic as it surges towards US Eastern Coast

The Forecast models of 00z,31st AUG are clearly indicating that no significant wind shear is expected to build in Earl's forecasted path. However, there seems to be a formation of a 30-40kt wind shear just in the latitude of Florida tip in Atlantic and presence of some dry air on the way
It means that Earl initially Earl will intensify more in next 36hrs till some Mid level wind shears form and affect the symmetrical figure of the Major Hurricane.
Also being shown by the models, a lot of dry air is likely to be present on Earl's forecasted path after 36hrs i.e at 24.6N,71.4E co-ordinates
This all will result in the gradual weakening of earl as it approaches CAROLINAS COAST

Will EARL STRIKE USA??
This seems to be a Billionaires question!
Right now, it looks like almost all the weather models are saying that Earl will miss from making a landfall at Carolinas coast. The steering winds from USA is likely to keep Earl shifting eastwards on the track and some strong winds can make earl to miss US.
But, I am still believing that Earl will definately make a partial landfall just East of Jacksonville in Georgia state
The entire coastal east is going to be affected by heavy rains and strong winds on Thursday evening due to Earl

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