Severe Earth and Space Weather Forecaster
The low level moisture patterns in Vidarbha already has started fading away indicating the monsoon has become weak over the Eastern Maharashtra though vigorous yesterday,thursday around Yavatmal district! The temperatures have started increasing along with the moisture laden air increasing the heat index upto 40C making uncomfortable periods inside houses
Overnight, an unexpected system developed around the eastern maharashtra and caused some solid rainfall during the day hours in some areas of Nagpur. Rainfall estimate from 0000hrs-12:46PM on 20th August at the headquarters near to 20mm rains which was not forecasted by any weather model
The GFS meteograms were indicating some chance of rains but the quantum is uncertain almost everyday since there is a lot of fluctuations in the moisture vs accumulated precipitation models
Since this system has moved well off towards Mumbai and the conditions are now opening in Nagpur, this can perhaps provide some warmth for another approaching system which can again pour some rains late afternoon.Going with the GFS, I dont find any rains in the afternoon period
Also SOME HAVE CLAIMED THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINS OF THIS SEASON HAPPENED IN DELHI ON THURSDAY
Due to some very personal work in the approaching week, I will not be able to make any weather forecast till 27th August 2010. The weather forecast for other areas also will be offline!