Strong Thunderstorms,Heavy Rains possible in Central India on Thu-Fri

REFERENCE MAP TO DESCRIBE THREAT LEVEL AS MENTIONED BELOW

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

A round of severe weather can be expected in the Central India region from Thu-Fri ( 21 and 22nd Apr 2011)

For Thursday,21st Apr 2011

Severe storms are expected to fire at the nose of the southern extent of jet stream aloft as the surface low continues to intensify in the region with the MSLP as per Thai Meteorological Dept of 1002mb! As the surface low deepens, it shall pull moisture from the Southern Region and South Western Region along with the Low Level Jets of 24-32kt thus providing the moisture in the persistent unstable atmosphere

The GFS 12z runs indicates upto 1000J/Kg CAPE present over Central India while the same timed Skew T indicate upto 500J/Kg joules in AN UNCAPPED ENVIRONMENT

With enough instability to support convection, and INSANE LIFTING ( LIFTED INDEX UPTO -5!!), Severe thunderstorms capable of producing Heavy Rains,Lightning,Strong Winds,Sudden drop of temperature shall be very likely

The main concern is for the following areas

Nagpur and the 100km circle radius as shown on Doppler Images

Areas around Gondia where strong CAPE is present

Isolated areas NE of Seoni in Madhya Pradesh

West of Amravati

** All areas in 200km radius of Nagpur as the center

Threat-

Threat is for Rains,Strong Winds,Hails and strong lightning during late evening into night

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For Friday- 22nd Apr 2011

As more moisture is dumped on Friday, with comparitively less instability

threat shall continue for Heavy Rains

These areas include -

Nagpur,Central and Southern Madhya Pradesh and other areas 200km radius of Nagpur ( Excluding the areas beyond 50km west of Nagpur)

** Flash Flooding also possible in areas like Southern MP,Vidarbha many areas in the 100km circle of Nagpur

Preparation -

Keep yourselves dry using raincoats and umbrellas all the time.

Stick to METD WEATHER forecasts @ facebook.com/deorasakshay

Don't stand under tree during lightning

METD WEATHER ALERT_

Areas in the 150km zone from Nagpur as center are specially alerted for chance of strong thunderstorm on Thursday followed by rains on Friday

MARK 5 ALERT in effect till 0600hrs,Sat

Additional rainfall also shall hit Chattisgarh,Western Orissa during this period

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