Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
Concerning- HIGH RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS A WIDE AREA IN GULF STATES
SPC AC 271255
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011
VALID 271300Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT FOR NE
MS...CENTRAL/NRN AL...NW GA...SE TN...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK...FROM
NRN/CENTRAL MS TO SRN AL...NW GA...MIDDLE/ERN TN...WRN SC...WRN
NC...WRN VA...AND ERN KY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE N CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO THE OH VALLEY/APPALACHIANS AND NY...
--DANGEROUS TORNADO OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING INTO LATE
EVENING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REGION--
------ STORM PREDICTION CENTER,NORMAN
As mentioned in the previous post, a Potentially dangerous severe weather outbreak is expected today in the gulf states
METD WEATHER Synopsis-
Severe Weather Forecaster
Concerning- HIGH RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS A WIDE AREA IN GULF STATES
SPC AC 271255
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011
VALID 271300Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT FOR NE
MS...CENTRAL/NRN AL...NW GA...SE TN...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK...FROM
NRN/CENTRAL MS TO SRN AL...NW GA...MIDDLE/ERN TN...WRN SC...WRN
NC...WRN VA...AND ERN KY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE N CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO THE OH VALLEY/APPALACHIANS AND NY...
--DANGEROUS TORNADO OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING INTO LATE
EVENING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REGION--
------ STORM PREDICTION CENTER,NORMAN
As mentioned in the previous post, a Potentially dangerous severe weather outbreak is expected today in the gulf states
METD WEATHER Synopsis-
An intense mid level negative tilted trough shall swing over the gulf states causing an active atmosphere for severe storms to develop. With the mid level jets over 100kt and the amplifying and north eastward progressing surface cyclone, the persisting th
understorms shall migrate eastwards with more linear fashion ( Squall line) later today with the cold front.
Moisture again shall not be a problem as given by the upper 70F dewpoint due to intense Low Level jets of 60kt+ winds which w'd rapidly pull moisture from gulf of mexico
As all ingredients come together with presence of MLCAPE 2000-5000J/Kg storms shall modify into severe thunderstorms in Eastern AR,Northern and Central MS,Northern Alabama,Central Alabama and Western,Central Tennessee
Storms capable of producing large hails,strong winds shall be primary threat
Presence of Strong Wind Shears for rotations, strong supercells capable of producing STRONG AND LONG TRACK TORNADOES shall strike from Wednesday morning into night hours in Northern Mississippi,Western TN,Northern Alabama and NW Georgia with the SFC low migrating Northwards into Kentucky.
Thus it shall be a major day and likely tornadoes in a wide area as a result I am not issuing any Tornado target for the day
I w'd not be surprised to see many tornado reports and long track tornadoes
Main Threat-
North Eastern MS, ( For some early period)
Western TN,
Central TN, **- STRONG TORNADOES LIKELY around Nashville
Central AL,**
Western AL,**
South Eastern Kentucky,
NW GA,
NE MS **
** - Greatest Probability of Strong Tornadoes
Western Tennessee and Northern and North Western Mississippi,North Western and Northern Alabama are requested to track the severe weather
Supercells have exploded and are in a region of Wind Shears over 500m2 s2!
This shall be some primary strong threat and even stronger than the HIGH RISK
Supercells have exploded and are in a region of Wind Shears over 500m2 s2!
This shall be some primary strong threat and even stronger than the HIGH RISK
PEOPLE IN THE AREAS ARE REQUESTED TO FOLLOW THE WEATHER UPDATES AS THIS IS AN EPIC SITUATION
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