Saturday, March 30, 2013

Registration for the FREE WEATHER SMS SERVICE NOW BEGINS

Just a few days ago,METD WEATHER had announced that a new service will be launched in June 2013. The service will provide weather updates,alerts etc in the form of SMS which people can read easily on their mobile phones.

The registration to this service which is absolutely free is NOW OPEN AND PEOPLE HAVE STARTED REGISTERING THEMSELVES..

The registration is very simple. It can be done by visiting the google doc or METD WEATHER's blog.

1) To register via google doc link-

People must open this link ( it can be seen even on the mobile I.e mobile internet)

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1IKv-SifGwsb71ZMQJZdlQuCaFlMtfNvV0Vcl5O1XNHQ/viewform

Just fill up the form with appropriate details and click submit.

2) To register from the blog- CLICK HERE or click the below link

http://metdweather.blogspot.in/p/register-for-free-sms-weather-update.html

Repeat the same process to get registered.....

The service will begin most likely from June 2013. Below are the highlights of this scheme- 
A major revolution is underway with METD WEATHER as we are planning to launch A FREE SMS ALERT SYSTEM IN MAY 2013. As of now, we are planning to collaborate with Vagaries of Weather and RingRoad Weather Station. 

Highlights- 
* People will get the weather update,forecast and severe weather alerts on their mobile phones in the form of SMS. 
If we collaborate with Vagaries and RingRoad team then daily forecasts will be conveyed to the people. If this collaboration doesn't take place then METD WEATHER will convey only severe weather forecasts by SMS. 

* This service is likely to be launched on/around May 21 2013 and will be activated most likely by June first week. 

* People who are interested in getting the updates will have to email their name, city,state, active mobile number (in which DND: Do Not disturb isnt activated) to METD WEATHER on the email- metdweather@live.com 

* The SMS will be sent ( when required) between 0800hrs and 2200hrs IST. No late night,early morning SMS will be sent. 

* The names, mobile numbers of the registered user will not be made public. Also the SMS will be sent through an automated device system to which people will not be able to reply by SMS. 

* People can activate/deactivate this service as they wish. They will just need to notify by email 

* The service will be FREE. No charges will be applied for receiving the SMS.. 

* Updates on the severe weather like rain,thunderstorms, lightning alert, cyclone updates, western disturbance and much more will be given by SMS... 

* Feedbacks can be sent by posting a comment on METD WEATHER facebook - 
facebook.com/deorasakshay 

***** The next announcement in this regard will be made around 16th May 2013 with the IndiMO 1 (Indian Monsoon Forecast)







Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Announcing- Free SMS alerts by METD WEATHER

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

A major revolution is underway with METD WEATHER as we are planning to launch A FREE SMS ALERT SYSTEM IN MAY 2013. As of now, we are planning to collaborate with Vagaries of Weather and RingRoad Weather Station.

Highlights-
* People will get the weather update,forecast and severe weather alerts on their mobile phones in the form of SMS.
If we collaborate with Vagaries and RingRoad team then daily forecasts will be conveyed to the people. If this collaboration doesn't take place then METD WEATHER will convey only severe weather forecasts by SMS.

* This service is likely to be launched on/around May 21 2013 and will be activated most likely by June first week.

* People who are interested in getting the updates will have to email their name, city,state, active mobile number (in which DND: Do Not disturb isnt activated) to METD WEATHER on the email- metdweather@live.com

* The SMS will be sent ( when required) between 0800hrs and 2200hrs IST. No late night,early morning SMS will be sent.

* The names, mobile numbers of the registered user will not be made public. Also the SMS will be sent through an automated device system to which people will not be able to reply by SMS.

* People can activate/deactivate this service as they wish. They will just need to notify by email

* The service will be FREE. No charges will be applied for receiving the SMS..

* Updates on the severe weather like rain,thunderstorms, lightning alert, cyclone updates, western disturbance and much more will be given by SMS...

* Feedbacks can be sent by posting a comment on METD WEATHER facebook -
facebook.com/deorasakshay

***** The next announcement in this regard will be made around 16th May 2013 with the IndiMO 1 (Indian Monsoon Forecast)

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Low Latitude Western Disturbance to bring rainfall in widespread parts of India

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER



The low latitude western disturbance is all set to hit North India,Central India
Here is the expected weather in your region-

Thu,14th Feb

The WD arrives at the neighbouring nation but the moisture associated arrives and settles over a broad region. The atmospheric instability indicates that convection will be happening. The areas where rainfall and thunderstorm can be expected into the evening/night hours are-

Central MP around Bhopal, Northern MP and bordering Eastern,SE Rajasthan, Western UP prominently. Even Delhi-NCR southern areas can get an isolated thunderstorm into the night hours. 

15th Feb,
Rainfall reserved for Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi NCR, Entire Northern Plains like Punjab,Haryana,Less in Himachal Pradesh, Uttaranchal and The least in Jammu and Kashmir.
Thunderstorms likely in the NCR region. 

The rainfall even will spread across Eastern Maharashtra like Nagpur bringing rains during evening-night hours. 

Not a very severe or heavy snowfall event expected in the hills. Hence no traffic disruption is expected! 

The system moves East on 16th and the eastern coastal states will receive some rains. 


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Saturday, February 2, 2013

MAJOR WINTER STORM TO AFFECT NORTH INDIA FROM TODAY.DOS AND DONT'S IN THE PERIOD

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER





LIKE MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, 

A Major Winter pattern is all set to hammer North India producing extreme snow accumulation in the higher reaches causing a lot of problems including threats of avalanche. Here is what people must remember

THINGS TO NOTE-
3rd Feb 2013- 
Snowfall initiates in Jammu and Kashmir in the higher reaches. It spreads across Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal over the night period and continuing later on as well whereas lower regions get rainfall. 

Punjab,Haryana may receive some showers due to it. 
Due to lower instability, convection is not expected and hence no thunderstorm

* Saurashtra also will receive light rains or a/two showers

4th Feb 2013
The system intensifies in the neighbouring nation and the result is that snowfall increases in J&K,HP,Uttaranchal,Nepal etc including Srinagar and tourists places around

* First Avalanche threat will develop for J&K Higher reaches.
* Snowfall will close the Jammu-Srinagar Highway also the already closed Leh-Srinagar highway

Rainfall also spreads southwards in North India. Thunderstorms expected in plains due to the developing instability

*Fog/Visibility problems for North India plains

Delhi-NCR, NE Rajasthan,Northern MP,Western UP etc to receive rains.



5th Feb 2013

** Avalanche threat will spread across Himachal,J&K .

** Very heavy snowfall will continue in the regions keeping the roads closed. Minor flight disruptions likely across Srinagar

* Rainfall will continue in North India plains with isolated thunderstorms and hailstorms as well with reduced maximum temperatures due to cloud cover and rains.

*Fog/Visibility problems for North India plains.

6th Feb-7th Feb 2013

Rainfall/Snowfall will decrease in North India. However due to high snow accumulations avalanche threat continues with fog in lower plains including SIACHEN GLACIER,Base Camp etc.

The system will then move away from India.

Thus due to very very heavy snowfall in J&K,Himachal and Uttaranchal the daily life will be hit hardly.

http://metdweather.blogspot.in/2013/02/potentially-major-storm-system-to.html

PREPARATIONS-

* PEOPLE LIVING IN HIGH ALTITUDE REGIONS SHOULD MAKE PROVISION OF FOOD/WATER ETC IN ADVANCE ITSELF WHICH WILL LAST TILL A WEEK,
* PEOPLE LIVING IN AVALANCHE PRONE AREA SHOULD EVACUATE BEFORE THE SNOWFALL STARTS AND MOVE TO SAFER PLACES
* PEOPLE TRAVELLING ON THE JAMMU-SRINAGAR HIGHWAY MUST PAY AN ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER/AUTHORITIES AND REACH PLACES OF ACCOMMODATION WELL IN ADVANCE. FOOD/WATER MUST BE KEPT WITH THE PEOPLE TRAVELLING BY ROAD
* DUE TO HIGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, PEOPLE MUST STOCK MEDICINES AS WELL
* PEOPLE LIVING IN FOG PRONE AREAS OF NORTH INDIA MUST USE FOG LAMPS FOR DRIVING. 

Via- ready.gov

THINGS TO DO BEFORE THE SNOW STARTS- 

Before Winter Storms and Extreme Cold

To prepare for a winter storm you should do the following:
  • Before winter approaches, add the following supplies to your emergency kit:
    • Rock salt or more environmentally safe products to melt ice on walkways. Sand to improve traction.
    • Snow shovels and other snow removal equipment.
    • Sufficient heating fuel. You may become isolated in your home and regular fuel sources may be cut off. Store a good supply of dry, seasoned wood for your fireplace or wood-burning stove.
    • Adequate clothing and blankets to keep you warm.
  •  Your family may not be together when disaster strikes, so it is important to know how you will contact one another, how you will get back together and what you will do in case of an emergency.
  • Listen to a Weather Radio/Aakashvani or other local news channels for critical information from the IMD Officials. Be alert to changing weather conditions.
  • Minimize travel. If travel is necessary, keep a disaster supplies kit in your vehicle.
  • Bring pets/companion animals inside during winter weather. Move other animals or livestock to sheltered areas with non-frozen drinking water.
  •  TRAVELLING IN CAR-
  • Things to be kept- 
  • Update the emergency kits in your vehicles with:
    • a shovel
    • windshield scraper and small broom
    • flashlight
    • battery powered radio
    • extra batteries
    • water
    • snack food
    • matches
    • extra hats, socks and mittens
    • first aid kit with pocket knife
    • necessary medications
    • blanket(s)
    • tow chain or rope
    • road salt and sand
    • DURING THE STORM,-
    • During Winter Storms and Extreme Cold

      • Stay indoors during the storm.
      • Walk carefully on snowy, icy, walkways.
      • Avoid overexertion when shoveling snow. Overexertion can bring on a heart attack—a major cause of death in the winter. If you must shovel snow, stretch before going outside.
      • Keep dry. Change wet clothing frequently to prevent a loss of body heat. Wet clothing loses all of its insulating value and transmits heat rapidly.
      • Watch for signs of frostbite. These include loss of feeling and white or pale appearance in extremities such as fingers, toes, ear lobes, and the tip of the nose. If symptoms are detected, get medical help immediately.
      • Watch for signs of hypothermia. These include uncontrollable shivering, memory loss, disorientation, incoherence, slurred speech, drowsiness, and apparent exhaustion. If symptoms of hypothermia are detected, get the victim to a warm location, remove wet clothing, warm the center of the body first and give warm, non-alcoholic beverages if the victim is conscious. Get medical help as soon as possible.
      • Drive only if it is absolutely necessary. If you must drive: travel in the day; don't travel alone; keep others informed of your schedule; stay on main roads and avoid back road shortcuts.
      • Let someone know your destination, your route, and when you expect to arrive. If your car gets stuck along the way, help can be sent along your predetermined route.
      • If the pipes freeze, remove any insulation or layers of newspapers and wrap pipes in rags. Completely open all faucets and pour hot water over the pipes, starting where they were most exposed to the cold (or where the cold was most likely to penetrate).
      • Maintain ventilation when using kerosene heaters to avoid build-up of toxic fumes. Refuel kerosene heaters outside and keep them at least three feet from flammable objects.
      • Conserve fuel, if necessary, by keeping your residence cooler than normal. Temporarily close off heat to some rooms.
      IF STRANDED IN CAR-


      If a blizzard traps you in the car:
      • Pull off the highway. Turn on hazard lights and hang a distress flag from the radio antenna or window.
      • Remain in your vehicle where rescuers are most likely to find you. Do not set out on foot unless you can see a building close by where you know you can take shelter. Be careful; distances are distorted by blowing snow. A building may seem close, but be too far to walk to in deep snow.
      • Run the engine and heater about 10 minutes each hour to keep warm. When the engine is running, open a downwind window slightly for ventilation and periodically clear snow from the exhaust pipe. This will protect you from possible carbon monoxide poisoning.
      • Exercise to maintain body heat, but avoid overexertion. In extreme cold, use road maps, seat covers, and floor mats for insulation. Huddle with passengers and use your coat for a blanket.
      • Take turns sleeping. One person should be awake at all times to look for rescue crews.
      • Eat regularly and drink ample fluids to avoid dehydration, but avoid caffeine and alcohol.
      • Be careful not to waste battery power. Balance electrical energy needs - the use of lights, heat, and radio - with supply.
      • Turn on the inside light at night so work crews or rescuers can see you.
      • If stranded in a remote area, stomp large block letters in an open area spelling out HELP or SOS and line with rocks or tree limbs to attract the attention of rescue personnel who may be surveying the area by airplane.
      • Leave the car and proceed on foot - if necessary - once the blizzard passes.




Akshay Deoras

Web-
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
    www.scribd.com/akshaydeoras


Friday, February 1, 2013

Potentially Major Storm system to affect North India,UAE,Oman

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

A very intense and powerful extra-tropical storm system ( WD for India) is shaping up at the European-Asian border and is all set to move through the Asian countries ultimately resulting in rounds of severe weather for West Asia nations including India. Lets have a look at this system

Attached above is the 200mb imagery showing an intense trough digging in. The trough is having intense upper level jet velocity ranging from around 140-170mph or an average of around 120kt!
The peak upper air jet at present lies across the Gulf countries particularly across UAE,Saudi Arabia.

The Mid level atmosphere is also reflecting trough like feature especially a blend of positive vorticity region ( a region of red line stretching across Central Saudi Arabia).

The "C" shaped red coloured region in the top left of image is the main region (WD) which will produce heavy rain/snow in India

As this region connected to the upper level trough moves eastwards with time, a slightly rough sea can be expected in the Gulf of Oman. Considering the instability, it appears that convection with thunderstorms and blowing sand/dust due to winds will be likely across UAE,Dubai and Coastal Oman including Muscat on 2-3rd Feb 2013.

Readers from these regions are requested to send the photos of storm/rainfall to METD WEATHER on the facebook page or by mailing them to metdweather@live.com

As the mid level system moves forward, it will intensify over Western Pakistan region and surrounding nations.

The system will produce its effect in India from around 3rd Feb 2013.

3rd Feb 2013- 
Snowfall initiates in Jammu and Kashmir in the higher reaches. It spreads across Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal over the night period and continuing later on as well whereas lower regions get rainfall. 

Punjab,Haryana may receive some showers due to it. 
Due to lower instability, convection is not expected and hence no thunderstorm

* Saurashtra also will receive light rains or a/two showers

4th Feb 2013
The system intensifies in the neighbouring nation and the result is that snowfall increases in J&K,HP,Uttaranchal,Nepal etc including Srinagar and tourists places around

* First Avalanche threat will develop for J&K Higher reaches. 
* Snowfall will close the Jammu-Srinagar Highway also the already closed Leh-Srinagar highway

Rainfall also spreads southwards in North India. Thunderstorms expected in plains due to the developing instability 

*Fog/Visibility problems for North India plains

Delhi-NCR, NE Rajasthan,Northern MP,Western UP etc to receive rains. 



5th Feb 2013

** Avalanche threat will spread across Himachal,J&K . 

** Very heavy snowfall will continue in the regions keeping the roads closed. Minor flight disruptions likely across Srinagar 

* Rainfall will continue in North India plains with isolated thunderstorms and hailstorms as well with reduced maximum temperatures due to cloud cover and rains. 

*Fog/Visibility problems for North India plains. 

6th Feb-7th Feb 2013

Rainfall/Snowfall will decrease in North India. However due to high snow accumulations avalanche threat continues with fog in lower plains including SIACHEN GLACIER,Base Camp etc. 

The system will then move away from India.

Thus due to very very heavy snowfall in J&K,Himachal and Uttaranchal the daily life will be hit hardly.


Monday, January 14, 2013

Major Western disturbance to impact North India. High snow accumulations likely

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster,



The Western Disturbance of the year may be here! 

****** THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR HIGHER REGIONS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH,J&K and Uttaranchal DUE TO VERY HIGH SNOW ACCUMULATION. 
PEOPLE IN THESE AREAS MUST START PREPARING ACCORDINGLY BY STOCKING FOOD,WATER ETC BEFORE-THE SNOWFALL BEGINS ********

Attached above is the 72hr GFS 500mb ( base 00z,15th Jan). The noteworthy feature is the giant positive Vorticity region having the 500mb geopotential heights as low as 558dam! It's the western disturbance which is all set to impact North India and Nepal in the coming days. 

The lower the geopotential height as compared to other heights on the same longitude,the  more intense any storm is. 



Attached above is the precipitation expected from this system. 

Thus starting from Thursday,17th Jan very heavy snowfall is expected in J&K,Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal and Nepal TILL 19th Jan 2013 

Here are some expected highlights- 

* VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL HAPPEN IN HIGHER REACHES OF J&K like Srinagar,Gulmarg,Sonamarg.Pahalgam,Zoji La Pass, Drass,Kargil and Leh and around in the same period 

* THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF AVALANCHE IN HIGH MOUNTAIN AREAS ESPECIALLY SIACHEN Glacier

* JAMMU- SRINAGAR HIGHWAY WILL BE CLOSED IN THIS TENURE. Minor flight disruptions likely at Srinagar on 18th Jan. 

* In Himachal Pradesh also very heavy snowfall will take place and also across Uttaranchal higher reaches,Nepal as well

* Heavy Rains along with an isolated threat of cloudburst across Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal and lower Nepal considering higher vertical vorticities.

* North Indian plains like Punjab,Haryana,Delhi-NCR, few regions in North-Western UP ( Lucknow and around) will receive thunderstorm with rains especially on 17th and 18th Jan. Considering the higher instability, hailstorm also seems likely in Punjab in this period. 

* Min temperature will rise during this period in these areas due to cloud cover

IF READERS TAKE SOME PHOTOS OF THE SNOWFALL OR THUNDERSTORM IN PLAINS, THEN PLEASE SHARE WITH METD WEATHER ON FACEBOOK OR BY MAILING TO metdweather@live.com 

As I am not well, I am unable to provide a detailed forecast.....



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