Powerful Western Disturbance to impact North India bringing snowfall!

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

After a very prolonged gap, a powerful Western Disturbance will be striking North India from tomorrow onwards i.e 28th Nov 2012

Attached above is the 48hr projected base 00z,27th Nov 700mb vorticity coupled with the precipitation.. One can see that the rainfall amount will be very heavy (snowfall as well) in J&K prominently in Central,Western J&K.

With temperatures already in the freezing level, snowfall will happen on a heavy level basis in J&K and I suspect light to Moderate across Himachal Pradesh starting 28th Nov and continuing on reduced estimates on 29th Nov

Usually such western disturbances bring rains in Northern Plains like Punjab,Haryana,NCR New Delhi however with this setup, its unlikely that these regions will receive heavy rains.

On Thursday (29th Nov), I suspect some cloud cover for the Northern Plains with isolated rainfall chances (less chance though) which may not bring a much change in the weather

*** Srinagar City will also receive THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON ON 28TH NOV LATE PERIOD,29TH NOV. THIS SNOWFALL EVEN MAY CLOSE THE LEH-SRINAGAR HIGHWAY AROUND ZOJILA-PASS***

*** Jammu-Srinagar highway may also get traffic disruption*** 

GULMARG,SONAMARG,PAHALGAM ETC WILL BE DECORATED BY SNOW IN THIS EVENT***

RAINFALL EXPECTED IN OMAN,UAE-

Meanwhile another short wave trough shall arrive from Western regions coming over Saudi Arabia bringing rains around 29th Nov 2012 and then moving across UAE-Oman  brining rains there around 30th Nov 2012,1st Dec 2012

Thus cities like Muscat,Dubai etc will receive rains (along with parts like SE Oman) in this period

Folks from Muscat,Dubai can send the rainfall images to METD WEATHER on facebook
facebook.com/deorasakshay


STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES

Another Major Western Disturbance all set to impact North India

METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

Not less than a week ago, a historic western disturbance hit North India leading to a complete standstill of transportation,sudden cold and many other worrying factors for the people.
The GFS forecasts are in a state of high agreement about another Western Disturbance in the region from 14th Jan 2012 onwards

This Western Disturbance shall bring Heavy Snowfall in many areas across Jammu and Kashmir,Himachal Pradesh!

The areas in the vicinity of Srinagar i.e Gulmarg,Sonamarg,Pahalgam shall see another major snowfall which may even stress upto Vaishnodevi and other areas.
The Kargil Valley,Suru Valley,Ladakh,Zoji La shall also get snowfall
Srinagar also will see Snowfall !


In Himachal Pradesh, Heavy Snowfall is expected in the areas like Shimla and vicinity,Lahaul Spiti,Manali and vicinity,Higher Passes

Considering the presence of cooler atmosphere, areas of Punjab like Pathankot where it did snow may even get another snowfall ( light) which will depend on the type of the system and its intensity.

The plains of Punjab,Haryana,J&K,Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal will get Rainfall and Isolated Thunderstorm also followed by Fog.

DURATION-


The Western Disturbance shall reach by 14th Jan 2012 where Snowfall is expected ( Light) in Central J&K.
On 15th Jan i.e Sunday the W.D will precipitate Snow and Rain in the areas mentioned above which will relax by 16th Jan 2012 late period


CONSEQUENCES- 


* THE W.D IS ANOTHER MAJOR ONE *


* VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL TOWARDS WEST J&K,HIMACHAL PRADESH WHICH INCLUDES
SRINAGAR AND VICINITY PROMINENTLY


* TOTAL DISRUPTION OF AIR SCHEDULE,ROAD WAYS ON OR AFTER 15TH JAN 2012 I.E SUNDAY ESP THE JAMMU-SRINAGAR HIGHWAY


* MIN TEMP SHALL DROP MORE AFTER THE WD*


*** PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THE EVENT ***


*** PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN CAUTIOUS FROM FOG IN NORTH INDIA PLAINS***