Severe Weather Forecaster
Concerning- Sharp Rise of Temp expected in India this week particularly Central and Northern India
The prevailing dry west winds and the position of the sun has already pulled up the temperature for much of India and is expected to go for a BIG SHOT
The GFS Forecast models are in agreement of a sharp rise in temperature both maximum and minimum temperatures for a wide area around the Tropic of Cancer and the Northern Plains.
The forecast shows a Max temp of 47-48C for Nagpur on 18th May ( Wed) whereas overall the heat wave shall bring in an anomaly of +1-2C temperature in Central India during 17-20 May ( Tue-Fri)
For Northern plains where I shall be this week, temperatures also are expected to rise by 2-3C
There shall be a break to this when a Western Disturbance arrives on 21-22nd May giving rains for the Higher reaches,Northern plains region giving some respite
** New Weather records for Maximum temperature possible this week**
2- NORTH EAST STATES HEAVY RAINS
THE DISTORTED WINDS AT LOWER LEVELS OF ATMOSPHERE SHALL ORGANIZE AS A FRESH ENHANCED PHASE OF CONVECTION OF MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION AND RESULTANT HIGH PRESSURE IN SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL REGULATES THE SW FLOW FOR THE SEVEN SISTER AREAS,SIKKIM,NEPAL AND WEST BENGAL
VERY VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY IN THESE AREAS EXCLUDING WEST BENGAL FROM 18TH MAY TO 23RD MAY 2011
** FLOODING POSSIBLE AND LANDSLIDES ALSO.
** PEOPLE MUST WATCH OUT FROM THIS SETUP