METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
As mentioned in the previous post, the incursion of moisture already lead to precipitation ( Light to Very light rainfall ) in Nagpur today morning at around 0410hrs.
The SKEWT plot for the morning indicating the Precipitable Water around 0.84inch meaning low moisture content
K index or KI index which determines the Convective Potential is around Moderate level
and the TOTAL TOTALS plot indicates likely thunderstorm
The Equivalent Potential Temp ( Theta E) is around 316J which is sufficient to fuel thunderstorms.
Considering all the parameters-
THERE IS UPGRADATION
Upgrade to 15% chance
There is a 15% chance of Rain and Thunderstorm ( On max 30%) i.e 50% out of 100% around Nagpur throughout the day
10% chance of T.Storm in Nagpur
The Lifted Condensation Level ( Is around 10,000 ft which is the base of clouds)
Moisture also is favorable with lifting mechanism.
The Lifted Condensation Level ( Is around 10,000 ft which is the base of clouds)
Moisture also is favorable with lifting mechanism.
Rainfall shall be isolated followed by a Thunderstorm.
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