METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER
"" TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT""
FOR INSTANT UPDATES AND DISCUSSIONS-
JOIN US ON FACEBOOK HERE
The much Anticipated and Puzzling Cyclone " Keila" has finally formed with the Joint Typhoon Warning Center ( JTWC) officially confirming its formation.
In an update provided by the JTWC, as of 2230hrs( 8th June) JTWC has mentioned Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert
at 18.7N,69.8E 180NM West of Mumbai
METD WEATHER HAD ISSUED A HIGH RISK YESTERDAY ONLY FOR FORMATION OF CYCLONE IN NEXT 24HRS!
FORECAST-
THE AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED AT 18.7N,69.8E AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS FEW ALERTS HAS ORGANIZED. VISIBLE ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ROBUST CONVECTION HAPPENING WITHIN THE SYSTEM SITUATED IN A POOL OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OVER 30C
THE IR-BD IMAGERY SHOWS A NICE OUTFLOW OF THE SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION.
RAINBANDS ALSO HAVE ORGANIZED IN LAST 12HRS GIVING A MORE SYMMETRIC SHAPE TO THE TROPICAL STORM IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER 40KT!
WITH SUFFICIENT DIFFLUENCE AS THE UPPER DIVERGENT WINDS ARE OVER 40KT, THE SYSTEM HAS TREMENDOUS POTENTIALS FOR INTENSIFYING IN THE NEXT 24HRS.THE WIND SHEARS ARE ALSO FORECASTED TO BE WEAK FOR NEXT 24HRS!
WITH A PRESSURE OF AROUND 998MB, KEILA REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM WITH PEAK WINDS OF 61KM/HR ( APX)
WHERE WILL IT GO?
CHECK THE ALERT MAP FOR DETAILS
No comments:
Post a Comment