Sunday, December 5, 2010

Arabian Sea low update and moisture for central India

Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster

What was predicted by GFS as intense cyclone, is now looking to be just a low pressure in the Arabian Sea in next few days. The low is 1004mb right now. Given the pool of warm sea surface temp but less other conditions for strengthening, I expect this low pressure to hit Goa with some rains by 10th Dec..

MOISTURE for Central India
The low pressure in Bay of Bengal is now moving inland and bringing a "wall" of moisture in Central India from eastern side. As the low moves in, the winds at lower level will be from east side for some days ( 7th,8th,9th Dec) which means minimum temperature in Nagpur will rise to 19C from intense 12C at present. Isolated chance of rainfall exists which will be specified in Facebook page updates.
After this moisture moves away, around 10th Dec, temp will start falling back.

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