Thursday, September 8, 2011

Heavy Rains to continue in North India

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

The entire North India is now receiving rains and Thunderstorms due to the formation of a vortex system at low and mid levels of atmosphere. Cloud Top Temps indicate temperatures around -50C in Himachal Pradesh,Uttarakhand and Eastern Punjab,Haryana.

HEAVY RAINS SHALL CONTINUE IN PUNJAB,HARAYANA,WESTERN HIMACHAL PRADESH TILL NIGHT HOURS OF FRIDAY ( 9TH SEPT 2011) 


THESE AREAS MIGHT FACE FLOODING POTENTIALS. 






BAY LOW - 


THE BAY LOW IS STILL LINGERING WITH MSLP OF 998MB OFFSHORE WEST BENGAL
GFS FORECASTS HAVE AGREED THAT THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MADHYA PRADESH AND THUS IS GOING TO REDUCE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL IN MAHARASHTRA NORTHERN AREAS


HOWEVER, HEAVY RAINS SHALL CONTINUE IN CENTRAL,SOUTHERN MADHYA PRADESH NEAR MAHARASHTRA BORDER

CONCERNS- 


VERY HEAVY RAINS SHALL HIT CENTRAL,SOUTHERN,EASTERN MADHYA PRADESH,VIDARBHA AND NORTH EAST MAHARASHTRA, WESTERN CHATTISGARH 


WHEN ? 
RAINS SHALL BEGIN ON 9TH AND 10TH SEPT 2011


CONCERNS- 
REGIONS IN MADHYA PRADESH MIGHT SEE FLOODING POTENTIALS. 
AREAS IN MAHARASHTRA ARE LESS LIKELY TO SEE SUCH FLOODING POTENTIALS

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Central India to receive heavy rains due to Bay Low

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

Nearly half dozen bay lows have already impacted Central India but with some weakened intensity and direction not exactly passing along the Maharashtra-Madhya pradesh border.

The low pressure is of 996mb and presently situated over West Bengal is expected to travel through Central India with its centre moving through central MP.

However due to increase in the moisture,it is expected that the low pressure will cause heavy rains and flooding probabilities across many areas in central india





THE PRIMARY CONCERN-


THE MAIN CONCERN IS OF HEAVY AND PROLONGED RAINS IN A WIDE AREA STRETCHING FROM VIDARBHA INCLUDING NAGPUR,AMRAVATI,AKOLA,CHINWARA


AREAS- 
AREAS OF 200KM RADIUS WITH NAGPUR AS CENTER
STRETCHING IN CHATTISGARH IN EAST AND AKOLA IN WEST.
STRETCHING SOUTH CENTRAL MADHYA PRADESH IN NORTH


WHEN - 
PROLONGED RAINS SHALL HIT ON FRIDAY ( 9TH ) AND SATURDAY ( 10TH SEPT)


IMPACT- 
*** LIKELY FLOODING POTENTIALS IN THE ABOVE AREAS***


PREPAREDNESS
*** PEOPLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MUST REMAIN VERY ALERT AND RESPONSIVE TO LOCAL AUTHORITIES. 


STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES!

Thursday, September 1, 2011

METD WEATHER DEDICATES OUR FIRST HD VIDEO,X RAY IMAGE TO VAGARIES OF WEATHER

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER






I AM PROUD TO ANNOUNCE THAT THE CHASE HAS BEEN FRUITFUL AND METD WEATHER HAS GRABBED AN INSANE VIEW OF TWO LIGHTNING BOLTS HAPPENING AT AN INTERVAL OF AROUND 3 SECONDS HERE IN NAGPUR


THE VIDEO HAS BEEN SHOT IN THE HD RESOLUTION OF 1280 X 720 AND UPLOADED ON YOUTUBE AS 720p while A VIDEO OF 1280p shall also BE MADE AVAILABLE SHORTLY




THE X RAY IMAGE


METD WEATHER ALSO HAS BEEN SUCCESSFUL IN GRABBING A SEQUENTIAL VIDEO OF THE SAME LIGHTNING BOLT IN THE X RAY EFFECT OF CAMERA WHICH SHOWS DETAILED BOLT AND VARIOUS FACTORS OF IT. 
As seen in the above image, the lightning bolt is the black curved line at the center. The gray background indicates clouds whereas the two cornered white patches are the X ray images of trees. 




THE VIDEO HAS BEEN PROCESSED using iMovie on my MACBOOK PRO ADDING DETAILED EXPLANATIONS OF IT


THE VIDEO-


THE VIDEO IS AVAILABLE HERE  


 Dedication


METD WEATHER DEDICATES THIS VIDEO AND THE EXCLUSIVE IMAGES TO MY SENIOR FRIEND FROM MUMBAI -

RAJESHBHAI KAPADIA

Readers already must be knowing that Rajeshbhai writes a wonderful blog "Vagaries of Weather"
on Indian Weather as well as discussions about Global Weather.

The blog was set up in 2006 on 15th July 2011 by Rajesh Kapadia (check his profile) who has been looking at the weather since last 40 years!
Since then there have been many wonderful posts on his blog with a total of 1135 posts from July 2006 till date.

The blog is reaching a MILESTONE OF 1LAKH VISITORS SHORTLY !

So, I dedicate this post with esteemed pleasure to Rajeshbhai for his generous and non stop work in Meteorology and wish for more success of the blog

Akshay Deoras



Saturday, August 27, 2011

CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL AT CAPE LOOKOUT,NC

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

CAT 1 HURRICANE IRENE HAS MADE A LANDFALL WITH ITS CENTER JUST MOVING THROUGH THE CAPE LOOKOUT,NC.. IRENE IS LOCATED AS OF 0800 EDT AT 34.7N,76.5W WITH MSLP OF 952MB AND MAX SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85MPH!

WE ARE WAITING FOR THE LANDFALL DATAS... STAY TUNES

Akshay Deoras
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com
VIA- EMAIL BLOG

Friday, August 26, 2011

THE LAST REMAINS OF HURRICANE IRENE...

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

HURRICANE IRENE REMAINS IN THE ATLANTIC AS A WEAKENED CAT 2 HURRICANE WITH MSLP OF 950MB AT 32.1N,77.2W AROUND 290 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT,NC.. WITH MAX 1 MIN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 100MPH AS OF 08PM EDT..
THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS PRESENCE OF DRY AIR ENVELOPING IRENE AND THUS CHOKING OUT ITS THERMODYNAMIC SYSTEM. IRENE HAS ENTERED THE REGION OF MODERATE HWIND SHEAR OF AROUND 20KT WHICH IN COUPLE WITH DECREASING LLC AND UPPER AIR DIVERGENCE IS WEAKENING IRENE
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO HIT EAST COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA TOMORROW EARLY MORNING ( 27TH AUG) AS A BARE CAT 2 OR EVEN A CAT 1.. AFTER THE PARTIAL LANDFALL,JET STREAMS WILL TURN IRENE NE AND IT SHALL AGAIN ENTER ATLANTIC AND RACE TOWARDS THE NORTH EAST CORRIDOR WHERE DUE TO RAPID WEAKENING,IT SHALL REMAIN AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE ENTERING LAND NEAR VIRGINIA. THE SUBSEQUENT RESULT SHALL BE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING WITH MODERATE WINDS

*** AS MENTIONED EARLIER,IRENE POSSES NO LONGER A STRONG THREAT AS WAS BEING ANTICIPATED BUT CAPABLE ENOUGH TO INTERUP LIFE OF PEOPLE IN NE USA..

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES


Akshay Deoras
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com

Hurricane Irene to reach Carolinas today




METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

THE CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE IRENE IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AT THE CAROLINA COAST TODAY WITH AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF CATEGORY 2

HURRICANE IRENE WILL START THE STORM SURGES GREATER THAN 2FT FOR SOUTH CAROLINA COAST.

IN SOUTH CAROLINA, COASTAL AREAS MUST WATCH OUT FOR STORM SURGES,HURRICANE FORCED WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS .....

IRENE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS AREA EAST OF JACKSONVILLE,NC AROUND 1-4AM LOCAL TIME OF 27TH AUG 2011

STRONG WINDS,FLOODING POTENTIALS LIKELY HERE

IRENE IS THEN EXPECTED TO IMPACT NORTH EAST US WITH EXTREME HEAVY RAINS AS IRENE DISSAPATES AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION


*** THERE IS A POOR CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION OR IRENE IN NEXT 12HRS due to INCREASED SHEARED ENVIRONMENT,DECREASING SST AND WEAK CONVERGENCE AT LOWER LEVEL..

DRY AIR INFLUX ALSO SHALL REDUCE INTENSITY

*** IRENE MIGHT HAVE AROUND 100MPH WINDS DURING LANDFALL EAST OF JACKSONVILLE ***

PEOPLE IN NORTH EAST US ( DC,MARYLAND,NEW JERSEY,NYC)

PLEASE REFER

www.nhc.noaa.gov for details

Thursday, August 25, 2011

Hurricane Irene all set to slam East coast.

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY DEORAS
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTER

AFTER INVADING BERMUDA AND HAVING GONE AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE,HURRICANE IRENE HAS NOW A WELL DEFINED EYE WITH A MSLP OF AROUND 947MB AND CAT 3

DETAILED UPDATE ON THE BLOG AT 0400 UT

Akshay Deoras
www.akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
www.metdweather.blogspot.com