weather in nagpur during INDIA VS NEW ZEALAND TEST MATCH from saturday

METD WEATHER,
AKSHAY DEORAS
SUN N SAND, NAGPUR


CONCERNING- WEATHER DURING INDIA VS NEW ZEALAND TEST MATCH AT NAGPUR
20-24th NOV 2010

After 20mm rains on thursday followed by evening thunderstorm, rains have again started in the city with light intensity. Rains with a thunderstorm are also expected on friday in nagpur as the moisture deposited by a LLC presently in vicinity of nagpur.
The cricket match will begin on this saturday and the weather forecasts are permitting for a good play on all 5 days. Clear weather with light cloud cover on saturday is expected at NAGPUR with highs around 31c and low near to 20c. Rainfall is not expected in city during the game.

Heavy rains hits Nagpur again. Temperature drops by 9C due to rains

SECOND IMAGE OF 1330HRS IST, 18TH NOV 2010 OF NAGPUR SHOWING INTENSE RAIN CLOUDS WITH SOME RAINS ALREADY AT THE CENTER OF THE IMAGE( ORANGE COLOR SHADE)

IMAGE AT RIGHT- DATA FROM METEOROLOGICAL CENTER SHOWING INTENSE WINDS

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

As was forecasted in the previous post and also on Facebook fan page of METD WEATHER,Heavy rains hit Nagpur city on Thursday,18th Nov 2010

Rains began around 1359hrs IST and continued well till 1440hrs IST.( RAINS ARE CONTINUING NOW ALSO AT THE TIME OF POST IN LESS INTENSITY). In this span of around 40mins, 20mm rainfall was recorded by the probes set up at METD WEATHER HQ. It means around 0.5mm rain per minute...

TEMPERATURE OF NAGPUR AT 1310HRS(BEFORE RAINS) WAS 31C AND AFTER RAINS, AS RECORDED AT 1430HRS IT WAS 22C

SHARP FALL OF 9C!!!! IN 1HR AND 20MIN { SEE THE TOP IMAGE)

GFS forecast were close to 25mm.

For WEATHER FORECAST OF REMAINING DAY check the link of Facebook posted above

INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT'S FORECAST-

THE INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPT,NAGPUR BRANCH HAD PUT THE WEATHER FORECAST FOR NAGPUR ON 17TH NOV 2010 AND THEY HAVE CLEARLY MENTIONED -

"CLEAR WEATHER ON 18TH AND 19TH NOV 2010"

IT RAINED ON 18TH NOV!!!

IMD MUST BE BANNED FOR MAKING SUCH WRONG FORECAST

( CHECK THE THIRD IMAGE FROM THE TOP)

Statistics

18th NOV 2010

REPORT OF 1410HRS IST OF NAGPUR

WINDS - 20.4KM/HR

GUST- 38.9KM/HR FROM NNW

RAINFALL- 20* MM

TENDENCY- HEAVY

A Low pressure at 850mb will bring some rains in Vidarbha and surroundings

FIRST IMAGE- SATELLITE IMAGERY OF 1430HRS SHOWING CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN BELT OF INDIA

SECOND IMAGE- THE GFS 850MB MAP OF 18TH NOV SHOWING THE LLC. NOTE THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION WILL BE LOW PRESSURE

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The GFS RUNS of 00z,17th Nov are indicating a broad low pressure area or area of cyclonic circulation (LLC) will develop and move bringing rains in Central parts

LLC has already formed and has brought rains with thunderstorm today in New Delhi as was suggested by GFS. The LLC is expected to move to Central India on 18th remain over on 19th,20th.

Rains are expected in central India and Nagpur on Thursday,18th Nov and 19th Nov,Friday WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS

Delhi rains-

Datas from Meteorological center at Delhi airport is showing Thunderstorm and light rains from 3PM-4.30PM. Current temperature in Delhi is about 19-20C which dipped from 25C to 20C..

Almost everyday, fog (shallow) is there in Delhi from late night till around mid morning.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO 15C AT DELHI ON 19TH NOV AND EXPECTED TO DROP TO 13C BY SUNDAY!!

Heavy rains expected in Andhra Pradesh,Northern Tamil Nadu

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

Very heavy rainfall is expected to strike coastal Andhra Pradesh,few northern parts of Tamil Nadu as the low pressure at present in the bay of bengal will come over land on Tuesday,16th Nov 2010 and continued effect on Wednesday,17th Nov 2010

The areas of heavy rainfall are likely in an area from SE of Machilipatanam stretching upto Puducherry

Rains in Mumbai

Rains and thunderstorm with winds gusting to around 40.7km/hr were reported from Mumbai meteorological center at around 08:10PM. Winds were around 22.2km/hr

Satellite imagery showing massive cloud with CB signs responsible for Thunderstorm. Thunderstorm also was reported in Pune... November month has never been so different. Rains have halted with partly cloud skies in Central India as moisture (most of the) has withdrawn.. With the bay low sweeping again, some more rains are expected to happen after 18th.

NOTICE-

METD WEATHER forecasts will not be available from Monday 22nd Nov 2010-Friday 26th Nov 2010 as I will be in Pune for some private work.. Forecast shall resume by Saturday,27th

No NAGPUR FORECAST will be available too. So Sorry for this as some rains are expected around that period.

Looking at the weather, I must admit that it will be advisable to carry umbrella to Pune during the visit next week instead of sweaters. Pune is getting rains almost everyday

Heavy Thunderstorm grips Vidarbha with rains. More expected

CAPE PLOT showing MAX CAPE over Central And Southern India

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

28mm rainfall was recorded at METD WEATHER hq due to a strong thunderstorm in afternoon hours of 11th Nov and evening-night-morning thunderstorm on 11th and 12th Nov.

Lightning with strong electric potentials were observed at night hours on thursday as strong backlights was observed followed by strong thunderstorm and moderate rains at late night continuing till early morning!

Rainfall also hit various areas of Vidarbha and North Central Maharashtra as the moisture deposited by the remnants of Cyclone Jal is colliding with the cool air from the north giving more cloud cover and rains at the center.

Moisture is going to continue well till 20th Nov which is due to remnants of JAL and then I see another low pressure in the bay doing so again.

So November in central India is expected to be warmer at nights and days.

Weather Forecast

Rains with mostly cloud cover will continue in Central India with rainfall chance with Thunderstorm in forecast as Strong CAPE coupled with daytime heating will trigger Cumulonimbus clouds formation and development.

Nagpur -

Rains are expected with thunderstorm again on Friday(12th Nov 2010) as daytime heating with CAPE will continue.

For more details- Visit Facebook page of METD WEATHER

This November in Central India looks like June

METD WEATHER

Akshay Deoras

Severe Weather Forecaster

The GFS 850mb showing typical SW Monsoon signatures as blend of rich moisture has deposited over Central and Southern India due to the Tropical Cyclone JAL land sweep over much of Southern and Central India earlier this week. A typical feature which happens during Monsoon season in India as the bay low sweeps over Central India precipitating heavily in course due to moisture deposition.

Rainfall was widely observed in Eastern Maharashtra and Central Maharashtra on Monday with data recorder recorded light to moderate rains in Nagpur. Unfortunately no data was recorded at METD WEATHER hq as I was away (around 80kms) from the city on a short vacation.

The 200-300mb map is also showing the jet streams have a more southerly flow and extent, a typical monsoon feature. Such feature prevents formation and impacts of so called western disturbance or Extratropical storm originating in Mediterranean area and bringing rains and snow in North Inda. So as long as the GFS is showing good low level moisture at least till more than Half of November i.e ( upto 20th Nov) most of the areas will have warmer nights and early mornings than the sudden chilly dip which happened in late October.

Anticyclone is expected to build over North Central India in next week that might act like Monsoon withdrawal system and then permitting Winter.

COOLING CONTINUES IN NORTH INDIA

As North India is away from this low level moisture zone, cooling is continuing with minimum temperatures around 12-13C.

Srinagar is having min temperatures near to 3C.

The cool air is unable to move in Central India as the winds don't have a Northerly flow. They are southerly.

RAIN CHANCES IN CENTRAL INDIA

AS THE BLEND OF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO COLLIDE WITH THE ARRIVING COOL AIR FROM THE NORTH CONTINUES TO COLLIDE

Cyclone Jal's cloudmass makes a landfall by 7AM-12PM as per METD WEATHER forecast

ABOVE- REMNANTS OF CYCLONE JAL AS IT MADE A COMPLETE LANDFALL BEFORE 12PM

top- HISTOGRAM FROM CHENNAI SHOWING PEAK WINDS GUSTING AROUND 46.3KM/HR AROUND 10AM THIS MORNING. THIS IS WHEN MAX.INTENSITY WINDS REACHED CHENNAI

Cyclone JAl's cloudmass made a landfall today morning in the state of Orissa. My friend reported from Puducherry which is in Pondicherry that very very heavy rains with storm surge and winds were there in the town in the morning. He also told that there were floods in some areas and trees,powerlines down at some areas

Jal weakened significantly in the past few hours before the landfall and now as seen in the satellite imagery of 1PM, Cyclone JAL has totally disappeared.

THE LANDFALL TIME,LOCATION WAS SIMILAR TO METD WEATHER'S FORECAST

ALL THE WARNINGS FROM SOUTH INDIA WILL BE LIFTED BY 11PM TODAY

I will update more as more details appear.