Thursday, July 8, 2010

Monsoon arrived on 2nd July 2010

The SW monsoon had arrived on 2nd July 2010 and thus again I have scored a 100%
For the month of july, rains will be almost everyday sometimes less or more
From 1st July to 9th July, a total of 97.5mm rainfall has occured.
I will not email everyday regarding rains but you can find out about alerts from the blog or twitter or facebook
Today- Chance of light to moderate rains from post afternoon hours into night hours

--
Akshay Deoras,
akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
metdweather.blogspot.com
P- 94223-13055

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Heavy rains disrupts life in India!




METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras,
Extreme Weather Forecaster

Heavy to very heavy rains have disrupted life of people in Northern India. It has rained very heavily in Punjab,Haryana and Himachal Pradesh throwing life out of gear due to flash floods causing a 5ft water logging in Ambala area.Flash floods in this areas have led extreme water accumulation in Ludhiana, Ambala,Kurukshetra,Karnal and other prominent stations on New Delhi- Jammu Tawi route enrouting ludhiana

Cancelled Trains:
  • Railway officials say these trains have been cancelled:
  • Amritsar-Delhi Shatabdi,
  • Amrtisar-Haridwar Janshatabdi, Amritsar-Delhi inter-city,
  • Bhiwani-Delhi-Kalka Ekta express, Mumbai-Amritsar Golden
  • Temple Express, Jammu-Rishikesh Hemkund Express, Himalayan
  • Queen, Haridwar-Bathinda-Ganganagar Express, Jammu Mail,
  • Jalandhar-New Delhi Inter-City Express, New Delhi-Kalka
  • Shatabdi Express, Kalka-Barmer Express, New Delhi-Amritsar
  • Shan-e -Punjab Express, New Delhi-Jammu Tawi special,
  • Amritsar-Dehradun Express, Chandigarh-Lucknow Express, New
  • Delhi-Una Himachal Express.

Due to heavy rains and a breach in Satluj-Yamuna link of 100ft in Gulabgarh village nearly hundreds of villages have been submerged under water. Road traffic on NH-1 is affected as roads were submerged in waters from near Nahar. So far water accumulations have meant The highest rainfall in ambala
Passengers were stranded at the airport,stations due to rains.
Ambala received 196.7 mm of rainfall, followed by 60.6 mm at Ludhiana, 59.2 mm at Nangal Dam, 14.8 mm at Bhiwani, 30 mm at Panchkula, 44 mm at Kurukshetra, 3 mm at Karnal and 11.2 mm at Patiala.
Now, rains are calming down and no significant rains to strike again in this region in next 48hrs. However it can rain moderately from Saturday night.
ON WEDNESDAY, NAGPUR CITY AND SURROUNDING AREAS ALSO WITNESSED VERY HEAVY RAINS.
AS PER THE DATA RECORDED FROM METD WEATHER,HQ. 65MM RAINS OCCURED FROM 12PM-6PM.


HIGH temperature expected today in North-East USA


METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras
Extreme Weather Forecaster,
Concerning- Heat Advisory in upper-east
HEAT WAVE ADVISORY IN EFFECT TILL 11PM EDT ALONG THE EASTERN TO NORTH-EASTERN STATES INCLUDING DISTRICT OF COLOMBIA,WASHINGTON,DC

This probably will be a memorable day for people living in Washington DC and surrounding areas as temperatures today are expected to hit apx 100F and Virtual temp. will be around 105F or 40C
A strong dominant high pressure off coast of Washington if 1016mb will be causing a very warm temperature. With absolutely no clouds building due to a very low Dewpoint and moistures, temperatures will soar to 100F. In the coming days, this heat wave i.e upper level disturbance will brace away allowing the developed cold front to strike and permitting some rains and thunderstorms and lowering the temperatures by solid few degrees
On Thursday and Friday, heat wave will not that be intensified but temperatures are most likely to be in 80-90F at maximum

SPC has issued a heat advisory in foll areas
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE- 
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST.
 MARYS-CALVERT-SHENANDOAH- FREDERICK VA-PAGE
-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON- 
RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
 PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- 
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
 KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
 JEFFERSON- 
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK..
. WESTMINSTER...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE..
.ANNAPOLIS... WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...WINCHESTER..
.FRONT ROYAL... CHARLOTTESVILLE...LEESBURG...CULPEPER...
MANASSAS... MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH..
. FREDERICKSBURG...WARRENTON...MARTINSBURG...CHARLES TOWN
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE

Sunday, July 4, 2010

SW Monsoon progresses towards North after arriving in Nagpur


METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras,
Extreme Weather Forecaster,

SW MONSOON arrived on 2nd July 2010 in Nagpur and METD WEATHER again scoring a 100% result consecutively for the second year. Though, rains have not been that strong in Nagpur they are very strong around Nagpur and in many surrounding districts. Due to a a Low pressure area which recently moved across Central India, Monsoon winds current regulated.
The GFS forecast are showing superb rains in Northern India which will be termed as Monsoon.
Heavy rains will grip parts of Punjab,Haryana and Chandigarh from Monday and at Delhi.
Very heavy rainfall is expected to hit Chandigarh and areas around it

New Delhi will witness few rains on monday. Chandigarh,ludhiana will receive a T.storm on mon,tue nights

Saturday, July 3, 2010

Heavy rains grips Mumbai city and also some parts of Gujarat

ABOVE-THE GFS,700MB VERTICAL VORTICITY AND PRECIPITATION MODEL SHOWING HEAVY RAINS IN SOUTHERN GUJARAT. THE ABOVE FORECAST IS OF SUNDAY,4TH JULY 2010

METD WEATHER,
Akshay Deoras,
Extreme Weather Forecaster

Extremely heavy rains gripped Mumbai city on Saturday and has disrupted the traffic and life of people. This is happening as the Low pressure from Bay of Ben
gal which recently centered over Maharashtra and Chattisgarh speedily went Westward and is now centered over Daman diu. This low pressure is extensively pulling moisture from the moisture rich Arabian Sea which is causing Very heavy rains in Mumbai,South-eastern Gujarat and areas of North of Mumbai.
GFS,00z has been showing more than a 100mm rains in Mumbai. As the mid and lower levels of atmosphere over mumbai and densely rich with moisture, heavy rains in few intervals are happening

Forecasts says that more rains will hit Mumbai city on Saturday and will be heavy by Saturday night, on Sunday, comparatively less rainfall in Mumbai and Western belt though can trigger some problems due to afternoon high tides
Rains will be very heavy on Southern Gujarat areas
like Rajkot,Baroda, Surat etc.

Meanwhile, In interior Maharashtra rains will be quite heavy on Sunday

BELOW- THE 850MB MAP SHOWING THAT LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED NEAR SURAT,GUJARAT. YOU CAN SEE HOW MOISTURE IS GETTING PULLED INWARDS AND FAVOURING THE MONSOON ADVANCEMENT

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Rainfall watch still continues for many areas in Maharashtra

It didn't rain in Nagpur on Thursday despite the weather models indicated! But Thursday proved to be very damaging for parts of Yavatmal, Bhandara, as flooding situations were seen with hailstorms at some places. I am still in darkness about the reason of NO RAINS in Nagpur despite a thunderstorm in Nagpur at midnight. 
Continuing, The Global Forecasting System's GFS models are still indicating heavy rainfall potentials in and around Nagpur
I will figure out- 

Mark II alert continues for Nagpur district, Amravati,Akola,Buldhana and Wardha,Chandrapur,Yavatmal district on the second day. Flooding potentials again today with floods already reported there.

FOR FRIDAY, RAINS SEEM TO BE THERE IN NAGPUR CITY DURING AFTERNOON AND ARE COMPARITIVELY LESS IN THESE AREAS AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. BUT IF THE GFS,850MB MAINTAINS STRENGTH, THEN IT CAN RAIN VERY HEAVILY WITH THUNDERSTORMS IN NAGPUR CITY, AND THESES AREAS CAUSING FLOODING PROBLEMS AND HAILSTORMS IF ENOUGH CAPE BUILDS UP
SUNDAY- RAINS WILL BE IN ALL LESS AND MONDAY CAN WITNESS PARTLY CLEAR WEATHER


I WILL STILL URGE EVERYONE TO FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS AS SOME OF MY SENIOR FRIENDS WERE STUCK FOR SOME HOURS NEAR YAVATMAL YESTERDAY. IF ANYONE WANTS TO TRAVEL TO THESE AREAS TOMORROW, YOU MUST TRAVEL WITH ALL NECESSARY THINGS FOR ALL TYPES OF SITUATIONS. 
METD WEATHER HAD WARNED YESTERDAY ALSO IN THESE AREAS AND RESULT WAS OUT... MANY KILLED. 
MARK II ALERT CONTINUES TILL SUNDAY EARLY PERIOD.
-- 
Akshay Deoras,
akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
metdweather.blogspot.com
P- 94223-13055

RAINFALL TO HIT 8:30-9:30PM TONIGHT

I AM EXTREMELY SORRY TO HAVE MISCALCULATED THE TIMINGS OF RAINFALLBY A SOLID 3HR GAP
THE LOW PRESSURE ALSO HAS SLOWED DOWN BUT PROBABILITY OF RAINS STANDS A 100%....
NOW RAINS WILL ARRIVE IN 8:30-9:30PM TIMESLOT WITH A THUNDERSTORM. THEY WILL BE VERY HEAVY BY MIDNIGHT AND MARK ARRIVAL OF THE MONSOON...
NEED TO REMOVE ELECTRIC CONNECTIONS AT THAT TIME

--
Akshay Deoras,
akshaydeoras.blogspot.com
metdweather.blogspot.com
P- 94223-13055