20 TORNADOES IN USA ON 29TH OCT 09

Tornado reports for USA for 29/10/09

The huge trough was a dangerous one. It created 20 tornadoes mainly in Louisiana,some parts of texas,Arkansas,one in Oklahoma

Now It is seeming that there are clear days ahead with high pressure systems. 

METD 

Akshay

Tornadoes possible from near I-35 in Oklahoma and Texas to Arkansas, Louisiana and the lower-Mississippi Valley.

CHANCE OF TORNADO AND HAILS WITH HIGH WINDS IN LOUSIANA.

THE CURRENT MODELS ARE INDICATING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND NEXT STAGE IS OF A SUPERCELL.

THIS SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVLPOPE MAINLY OVER LOUSIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.

 

SYNOPSIS.-

THE 850MB SYSTEM which we call as low level jet system says 50knot low level jets mainly over lousiana. The gulf of mexico is sending mositures in that area which is causing some instabilities in atmosphere. We call it as Cape and the value for cape is about 3000J/Kg. The Windshears are ample in lousiana which can help in development of horizonral spinning effect.As this part of time most of usa is cold enough and contais dryness in air, Southern areas which are near coast have chance of tornadoes.

We will surely have floods in southern side.

 

a few tornadoes will impact areas from near I-35 in Oklahoma and Texas to Arkansas, Louisiana and the lower-Mississippi Valley.A warm front is present in this area which will cause tornadoes. SO people living are warned..........

 

There has been a massive snow storm in the Colorado and wyoming. We will update with the pictures soon....

 

 

METD

Akshay

HEAVY WINTER STORM IN COLORADO,WYOMING,THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

THE HUGE PACIFIC TROUGH DIGING IN THE COUNTRY

AS THE 300,500mb maps are showing  a large trough is digging in. It will dig through the western states like Colorado,Wyoming.

This trough will cause heavy precipitation in the form of snow.

The heaviest snow should be in Colorado and Wyoming, with portions of southeastern Wyoming expecting one to two feet of snow by Friday morning. Behind this system, another system will move into the Pacific Northwest late tonight into tomorrow and Friday bringing some locally heavy rain and mountain snow to Washington.

In the southern plains a lot of air packets will be present wioth changing shears<helicity>.

 

MODERATE WEATHER FROM WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY

A LONG TROUGH WILL BE DIGING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BRINGING
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS TROUGH WILL ENTER FROM THE
NORTH-WEST AND WILL DIG THROUGH THE STATES UTAH,COLORADO
LATER THIS TROUGH WILL COME TO THE SOUTHERN USA AND WILL BRING FLOODS
AND THUNDERSTORMS

TO BE COMPLETED
AKSHAY DEORAS

Chilly Nights.Some scope of Snowfall in Upper-north India

METD WEATHER STATION
WINTER FORECASTING DEPT.
NGP

TEMPERATURE OF NIGHT BREAKS THE RECORD PREVIOUSLY SET IN OCT 2002.
LAST NIGHT;S TEMP. WAS ABOUT 13.2. THIS WAS PREVIOUSLY RECORDED 7
YEARS AGO IN THE YEAR 2002.

2] FORECASTING---

THE COOL WINDS ARE DOMINTATING. THIS WINDS ARE MOSTLY BETWEEN
10-15KM/HR. THEIR APPROACH IS FROM NORTH,NORTH EAST.
NAGPUR HAS A WINDCHILL MORE THAN TEMPERATURE-
WINDCHILL IS THE TEMPERATURE WHICH WE FEEL AND ACTUAL TEMPERATURE ON A
THERMOMETER IS MORE THAN WINDCHILL.

THURSDAY HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF SNOWFALL IN THE UPPER NORTH REGIONS LIKE
J&K SONAMARG, PARTS OF HIMACHAL PRADESH..

THE PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THE HUMIDITY AND AS A RESULT OF IT
THERE WILL BE LITTLE MOISTURE IN THE AIR THAN NORMAL LEVEL AT THIS
TIME.
THIS WILL INCREASE THE TEMPERATURE SLIGHTLY<NIGHT TEMP.>
THE WINDS WOULD BE COLD ENOUGH TO ENABLE WEARING SWEATERS IN THE MORNING...

FORECASTING FOR TEMPERATURES
LOW FOR THIS WEEK POSSIBLY WOULD BE TONIGHT,27TH OCT-28TH OCT

EXPECTED- 12 C

for the week temp,would be around 15C AT NIGHT AND 32-34 C IN MORNING.......

TAKE CARE
METD WINTER DEPT

AKSHAY DEORAS

LUPIT SPARES PHILIPPINES. HEADING NORTH!!!

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT TO SPARE PHILIPPINES.

THERE HAS BEEN A DRASTIC CHANGE IN THE PATH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE LUPIT
LUPIT AS ON 20TH OCT 2009 WAS HEADING TO THE PHILIPPINES AND WAS
EXPECTED TO MAKE A LANDFALL TODAY.
THE CURRENT MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT LUPIT IS IN THE AREA OF COLD
WATER,DRY AIR SO IT IS LOSING ITS STRENGTH. THE INFRARED AND THERMAL
IMAGES SHOW THAT ITS EYE IS NO MORE THUS IT IS A MORE DISORGANIZED
STORM NOW.
HOWEVER IT IS SURELY BRINGING RAINS IN THE AREAS WHICH COME IN THE
PRECIPITATION ZONE OF THE CYCLONE. IT IS CURRENTLY MOVING TO THE NORTH
WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 965mb.IT HAS GUSTS OF 64MPH AND THE
WINDS EQUIVALENT TO 63mph. IT IS AT 19.5 N,123.5E.
IT MAY BRING ABOUT 12 INCH RAINFALL PER DAY.........

WE SHALL LET YOU KNOW LATER
METD
AKSHAY

FINAL FEW ACTIVITIES IN THE OCEANS.HURRICANE RICK,THE SECOND STORNGEST HURRICANE RECORDED IN EAST PACIFIC

THE CYCLONE SEASON IS AT THE END FOR THIS YEAR.
CURRENTLY TWO SUPER HURRICANES ARE IN ACTION
HURRICANE RICK AND MAJOR TYPHOON LUPIT

HURRICANE RICK IS THE SECOND MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
RICK GREW RAPIDLY YESTERDAY MORNING WITH WINDS OF 180MPH AND CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 906mb.THE PREVIOUS RECORDED WAS HURRICANE LINDA IN THE
YEAR 1997 WHICH HAD WINDS OF 185MPH AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 902mb.

HURRICANE rick was the second one as it could get light wind shear,
high ocean heat content, and plenty of mid-level atmospheric
moisture--to reach its MPI and intensify into one of the strongest and
most spectacular tropical cyclones ever recorded. The last tropical
cyclone to attain Rick's intensity was Australia's Cyclone Monica of
2006, which also had 180 mph winds.Wind shear will gradually increase
and ocean heat content decrease over the next few days as Rick
approaches Baja, and the hurricane should weaken considerably before
landfall on Wednesday. The latest GFDL model run puts Rick at Category
2 strength, but Rick could still be a major Category 3 hurricane at
landfall, as predicted by the HWRF model.

Currently rick is at 15.8N,108.3 W
Winds are of 170mph
Movement is WNW at 13mph.
Cat- 5
pressure at center- 914mb..

It will make a landfall at La Paz as Cat 2 hurricane on Wednesday.

2] SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT
Lupit is a super typhoon with wind of 24km/hr,,gusts of 296km/hr
Lat- 17.6N
long- 134 E
Movement- ENE at 11km/hr

Expected to make a landfall north of phillipines at tuguegaro city. as
cat 3 typhoon by thursday.

STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES-

METD WEATHER
AKSHAY