METD WEATHER
Akshay Deoras
Severe Weather Forecaster
Not less than a week ago, a historic western disturbance hit North India leading to a complete standstill of transportation,sudden cold and many other worrying factors for the people.
The GFS forecasts are in a state of high agreement about another Western Disturbance in the region from 14th Jan 2012 onwards
This Western Disturbance shall bring Heavy Snowfall in many areas across Jammu and Kashmir,Himachal Pradesh!
The areas in the vicinity of Srinagar i.e Gulmarg,Sonamarg,Pahalgam shall see another major snowfall which may even stress upto Vaishnodevi and other areas.
The Kargil Valley,Suru Valley,Ladakh,Zoji La shall also get snowfall
Srinagar also will see Snowfall !
In Himachal Pradesh, Heavy Snowfall is expected in the areas like Shimla and vicinity,Lahaul Spiti,Manali and vicinity,Higher Passes
Considering the presence of cooler atmosphere, areas of Punjab like Pathankot where it did snow may even get another snowfall ( light) which will depend on the type of the system and its intensity.
The plains of Punjab,Haryana,J&K,Himachal Pradesh,Uttaranchal will get Rainfall and Isolated Thunderstorm also followed by Fog.
DURATION-
The Western Disturbance shall reach by 14th Jan 2012 where Snowfall is expected ( Light) in Central J&K.
On 15th Jan i.e Sunday the W.D will precipitate Snow and Rain in the areas mentioned above which will relax by 16th Jan 2012 late period
CONSEQUENCES-
* THE W.D IS ANOTHER MAJOR ONE *
* VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL TOWARDS WEST J&K,HIMACHAL PRADESH WHICH INCLUDES
SRINAGAR AND VICINITY PROMINENTLY
* TOTAL DISRUPTION OF AIR SCHEDULE,ROAD WAYS ON OR AFTER 15TH JAN 2012 I.E SUNDAY ESP THE JAMMU-SRINAGAR HIGHWAY
* MIN TEMP SHALL DROP MORE AFTER THE WD*
*** PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THE EVENT ***
*** PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN CAUTIOUS FROM FOG IN NORTH INDIA PLAINS***